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Insights · Market Cycle

Everything on Market Cycle

2 insights · 2 episodes

  1. The distribution of long-term holder supply suggests the current bull market is only 8.5% complete, based on historical cycle patterns. This implies that the majority of the upside potential remains unrealized.

    Impact: Offers a quantitative measure of cycle progression, allowing investors to gauge the remaining upside potential and adjust their allocation strategies accordingly.

    — from Bitcoin Bull Market Cycle Analysis and Valuation · The Milk Road Show· Oct 12, 2026

  2. The AI sector is in a late-stage bubble phase, with capital expenditure significantly outpacing revenue generation. This imbalance suggests an imminent correction as companies struggle to service debt for data center infrastructure.

    Impact: Investors should expect a significant drawdown in AI-related equities and a broader market correction within the next 12 months, requiring defensive positioning.

    — from AI Bubble Warning and European Value Rotation · Alles auf Aktien – Die täglichen Finanzen-News· Sep 12, 2026