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Insights · Geopolitics / Security

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  1. The Iran conflict lacks basic scenario planning regarding the Strait of Hormuz and asymmetric drone warfare. Iran can deploy $20,000 drones that overwhelm defense systems, potentially disrupting global oil transport.

    Impact: Insurance markets may cease covering tankers in the region, triggering energy price spikes and supply chain disruptions across global markets.

    — from Iran Escalation, SpaceX Valuation, and AI Ethics Battles · Pivot· Mar 31, 2026