# Colombia's Electoral Fragmentation and Ecopetrol Financial Risk

**Podcast:** La Estrategia del Día Colombia
**Published:** 2026-02-12

## Transcript

The estrategia del día Colombia is traída para ti por Glumberlinia.com.
Feliz jueves.
This is the Estrategia del Día Colombia.
Io soy María Césuárez and I start al aire with those analysts politics for habit del escenario a menos de un mes of the three consultas presidential in Colombia.
Active la campana para receber las notificaciones de cada uno de nuestros episodios.
Comenzamos.
Hoy la lupa está en.
Arrancó la cuenta regresiva para the three consultas presidentiales in Colombia that the 8 mars definirán more candidates of Izquierda, Centro y de Derecha.
Para expertos políticos, the partidor is very amplified and there are personajes that no longer opportunity real to llegar a laza de Nariño.
Carlos, bienvenido a la Estrategia del Día Colombia y como ve usted el panorama de las consultas.
¿Cuál es entonces el objetivo de estas consultas?
Y para las consultas.
Lastimosamente las elections a Congreso aún no están in el radar of the medios de communication and in the conversations in redes sociales, dado que las consultas atrás presidentiales have been tomato.
Seguimos debates of precandidates that don't have option, that are in terms of the 2 o'clock, but no alcanzen summits the 10% of the intention of vote.
And lastimos no have debates about candidates in the different regions, or at least national to Senate.
The media of communication occupied of an election that is equal to important to the election presidential.
And this is that the candidates who have a presentation mediatic, who have experience in gestion or that have constructed a narrative in reads social and an imaginary public in reads social media that have penetration in different platforms and ecosystems digital have a very option, not only at national national, but at least local.
Lastimos, the figure of the consultants presidential has dibujado.
Hoy, esas consultas no tienen candidatos representativos that have the possibility to mark much all of the 6% or 7%.
The great of the people who integran the consultants, center or centroid, are not representing a possibility real triumph in the mes of june.
Y esto is because much of else are busy the consultas from platform electoral and the opinion public for language posteriorly to alcaldías, gobernacements and reposition of votes.
Lastimos, hoy the consultants are a mechanism for recuperation inverted in the pre-campagne and not from a mechanism of participation political and cohesion of the particular structures fundamental in the democracy.
But lastimosamente no será significative because all in the consultas no están los precandidatos que hoy marcan majoritariamente in the encuest.
Some of the comparing what the consultas presidential of the 4 años, in 2022.
The first is that 4 a year in the elections of the 13 marks of 2022, Colombia appreciated about the consultants presidential that repeated.
The first of this is that in a jornada that seems in various consultants, there were votations more asymmetric.
But a vote much more than the queen Petro obtuvo with the respective consulta.
And for the carrier in a way asymmetrical and effect directly in the intention of voting and in the encuest of the candidate.
Sobre the consulta, what much candidates have the consulta for Colombia ve perfiles usted of alto impact with the opportunity to get to the casa de Nariño?
And in this consultant estimate that for the number and the diversity ideology and participant of those are competitive in it, always cambiate bastard the tablet of the elections.
Fernando, and create that there's a great affluence of voters for these consultants.
There are particulars that are not no voting, which are the competition in the consult in any of the three consultants.
But definitively we will have a vote much more early that the that it was in October when it was a temporary electoral and a year of calendar electoral.
This is always the conclusion more important.
But just have numerous of a minimum of voters with the candidate.
The President Gustavo Petro advertising that Ecopetrol will be the price of the Brent $60 per barril, which revived the debate about the solid financial of the petrol of majority.
During a consequence of ministers, the mandatarian assegged that an scenario of prices in risk of the company and suggest that decisions from the fracking would arrive at the company.
In parallel, it advertised that the break-even utility network of Ecopetrol was $31 in 2022 to $50 in the tercer trimestre of the 2025, reflecting major pressure financiers.
Because the governor alerta sobre la vulnerability ante una caída del Brent, the Sindicato insiste in that a precious of $60 por barril no implica la quiebra and that looks in the pace is the convenience of retoman losses de fracking.com para estar siempre bien informados.